On All-In #291, David Friedberg argued that AI agents will set off a cyber defense arms race. We checked where the security stocks sit in their own five-year valuation ranges: the biggest platforms are already at the 96th to 98th percentile.
During the worst week of the July 2026 AI selloff, Gavin Baker said he could not find a single negative quantitative metric. That is a checkable claim. Here is the checklist: every metric he cited, what it signals, and an honest accounting of which ones a retail investor can actually verify.
After the July 2026 selloff, Nvidia traded at its cheapest forward P/E in ten years. That sentence contains one number and three assumptions. Here is how to unpack it: forward vs. trailing, what multiple compression on accelerating earnings mathematically implies, and why "cheapest in a decade" has been both a great signal and a trap.
July 2026 took 40–60% off AI infrastructure stocks. We ranked 50 names against their own five-year valuation history: only five actually got cheap, and about a third of the complex still trades near five-year-high multiples.
StockResearch now charts any covered stock's valuation against its own five-year history: a percentile screener with presets and a valuation-vs-growth chart view, per-ticker research hubs, and an S&P 500 valuation history page, all computed from SEC EDGAR filings.
Every big drawdown is one of two things: the market learned something, or someone had to sell. They look identical on a price chart. Here are five data checks that separate them, illustrated with the July 2026 AI selloff.
Monthly valuation report
A monthly review of valuation changes, with links to the current data.